If you had to bet on one thing on the second week of NFL action, chances are you would bet on the Kansas City Chiefs to win on any given Sunday. The team, which was a surprise on the field last year, showed why on Saturday. The Chiefs hosted the Indianapolis Colts and had a chance to clinch their divisional title. On a cold and windy day, the home team prevailed in a 30-13 victory, and it wasn’t even close.
The 2017 NFL season started yesterday, and the first game of the season is one of the most highly anticipated sporting events of the year. Sure, most people love to root for their favorite team or want to see history made, but many people will also make bets on the games.
Last week, I wrote about how my season-long NFL betting record had the Green Bay Packers winning the Super Bowl after the Packers were 6-point underdogs in Week 1. I also explained how I have been able to find value in the oddsmakers’ published lines for all 32 NFL teams, and had the Atlanta Falcons at -3.5 (and the Kansas City Chiefs +3.5) in Week 1.
Here’s a look at how the NFL betting market is shaping up as the weekend approaches.
Keep in mind that the Week 1 NFL betting market is unusual in that point spreads and totals on the first games have been up for months; as a result, most line changes occur in the weeks leading up to kickoff rather than in the days leading up to kickoff, as is more common throughout the regular season.
Unless otherwise stated, all lines, totals, and betting percentages are from Caesars Sportsbook. The wagering percentages and money wagered are as of Wednesday afternoon and are not specific to the current lines and totals. They’re meant to give you a taste of the early betting activity.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Dallas Cowboys
Buccaneers -7.5, 52 on Monday.
Buccaneers -8, 51 on Wednesday. Buccaneers received 68 percent of bets and 76 percent of money gambled on the spread. Total action: 57 percent of bets on the over, 52 percent of money placed on the under.
Notes: The number has been rising since it first opened at Bucs -6 in the early lines this spring. The point spread reached as high as Bucs -10 in some establishments in late August before settling down at 7.5. On Tuesday, the line was raised to Bucs -8.
Carolina Panthers vs. New York Jets
Panthers -4.5, 44.5 on Monday. Panthers -5.5, 44.5 on Wednesday. Panthers received 59 percent of bets and 76 percent of money gambled on the spread. Total action: 58 percent of bets were placed on the over, while 80 percent of the money was gambled on the under.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Monday line: Falcons -3.5, 48; Wednesday line: Falcons -3, 48; Total action: 63 percent of bets, 65 percent of money placed on the over; Spread action: 59 percent of bets on Eagles, while 62 percent of money gambled on Falcons
Notes: The line had gone as high as Atlanta -4 over the summer, but it has been hovering around -3.5 for the previous few weeks. The 3.5s have vanished this week, with big money betting on the Eagles, who are the underdogs.
New York Giants vs. Denver Broncos
All 32 clubs in the NFL have betting advice. Mike Clay’s favorite ’21 player props in the NFL Connelly: SP+ win total projections for CFB Stanford Football Club (CFB) The Bear’s and Steve’s choices SEC: 2021 CFB NFL | CFB Chalk home | NFL home | CFB home | Best Bets PickCenter: NFL | CFB Chalk home | NFL home | CFB home
Broncos -3, 42.5 on Monday’s line Broncos -3, 41.5 on Wednesday. 67 percent of bets and 81 percent of money placed on the Broncos were spread bets. Total action: 51% of bets, with 65% of money placed on the underdog.
Notes: In the spring, the Broncos were listed as 1-point favorites. Late in August, the line rose to -2.5, and by the middle of last week, it had hit the crucial figure of three.
The San Francisco 49ers will take on the Detroit Lions.
49ers -7.5, 45.5 on Monday. 49ers -7.5, 45, 49ers -7.5, 45, 49ers -7.5, 45, 49ers 79 percent of bets and 90 percent of money gambled on the 49ers were spread bets. Total action: 68 percent of bets were placed on the underdog, with 75 percent of the money gambled on the underdog.
Notes: Bookmakers have been predicting that the Lions will be needed in this game. Chris Bennett, sportsbook supervisor at Circa Sports in Las Vegas, said, “We’re seeing a lot of the 49ers, a lot of teasers and money-line parlays, and some straight-bet activity as well.” “That, I’m sure, will continue right up until game time. If the Lions win that game, I’m sure we’ll be overjoyed.”
New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers (in Jacksonville)
Packers -4, 50 on Monday’s betting line Packers -4, 50 on Wednesday. Packers have 77 percent of bets and 77 percent of the money put on them (action on bets after game moved to Jacksonville) Total bets: 76 percent, with 97 percent of the money placed on the underdog (action on bets after game moved to Jacksonville)
Notes: During the summer, this line was all over the place due to the Aaron Rodgers story. The Saints were a 3-point favorite at the start of the game. When Rodgers arrived for training camp on July 27, the number changed to Packers -3. Most novels saw a drop to -4 this week. As of Wednesday, the Packers had 91 percent of the point spread money at DraftKings. At DraftKings, that’s the most lopsided early betting on any Week 1 game. Remember to double-check your sportsbook’s regulations for rescheduled games. Some bookmakers will invalidate any wagers placed prior to a game’s relocation.
The NFL season begins this week, and there will be plenty of betting action for fans. In addition to the usual point spread for NFL games, the usual wagering markets exist. The most popular of these is the “Moneyline,” which means a bettor will wager a fixed amount on a given team to win a fixed amount, even if it’s a favorite by a large amount. For example, if a team has a +10 point spread, a bettor will wager that the favorite will win the game. If the favorite loses, the bettor will win the bet. If the favorite wins, the bettor will win the bet even if he wagered a large amount on the favorite. The. Read more about nfl mock draft 2021 and let us know what you think.
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